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NSW Education Standards Authority

11–12Mathematics Advanced 11–12 Syllabus

Record of changes
Implementation from 2026
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Content

Year 12

Random variables
Discrete random variables
  • Use the relative frequencies of discrete random variable datasets to estimate the probabilities that the random variable X takes each of its values, and explain why these estimated probabilities add to 1
  • Denote the probability that the discrete random variable X takes the value x by P(X=x), or by P(x) if the discrete random variable X is understood
  • Define a discrete probability distribution to be the set of values x taken by a discrete random variable X, together with the probabilities P(x) that x is the outcome of the experiment
  • Define a discrete random variable to be uniformly distributed if it has finitely many values, all with the same probability, and use it to model random phenomena with equally likely outcomes

  • Recognise the mean, or expected value, μ or EX, of a discrete random variable X as a measure of centre for its distribution
  • Generate and use the formulas EX=μ=ΣxP(x) and V a r X = σ 2 = Σ x - μ 2 P x = Σ x 2 P x - μ 2 for the random variable X, where VarX is the variance and σ is the standard deviation of the distribution
  • Recognise that the variance is an expected value because VarX=EX-μ2
  • Generate a probability distribution for a given discrete random variable and represent the probability distribution in graphical and tabular form

  • Solve problems involving probabilities, expectation and variance of discrete random variables

Continuous random variables
  • Estimate the probability that a continuous random variable falls in some interval using relative frequencies and histograms obtained from data

  • Recognise that the probability of a particular value for a continuous random variable is 0 and hence that Pa<X<b=PaX<b=Pa<Xb=PaXb since PX=a=PX=b=0 when X is a continuous random variable
  • Define the cumulative distribution function (CDF), Fx, as the probability of a random variable, X, having values less than or equal to x, so Fx=PXx and Paxb=Fb-F(a)
  • Recognise that the cumulative distribution function, F(x), is non-decreasing for all x in its domain, and graph cumulative distribution functions, given a formula for F(x), with and without graphing applications
  • Define a probability density function (PDF), fx, for a random variable X with cumulative distribution function Fx as fx=F'(x) and recognise that Pa<X<b=abf(x)dx
  • Recognise the properties of a probability density function: f(x)0 for all x in the domain of fx, and a b f ( x ) dx = 1 if the domain of f(x) is [a,b], or - f ( x ) dx = 1 if the domain of f(x) is all real x

  • Apply the properties of a probability density function to solve problems and justify conclusions

  • Find the mode from a given probability density function

  • Obtain the cumulative distribution function using the formula Fx=axftdt where fx is a given probability density function defined on the interval a,b
  • Determine and use the probability density function fx=1b-a for a continuous uniform distribution for a random variable X taking values in the interval [a,b]
  • Use a cumulative distribution function to calculate the median and quartiles for a continuous random variable

  • Find the probability density function from a given cumulative distribution function

  • Generate the expression for the expected value of a continuous random variable, EX=μ=abxfxdx, where the probability density function fx is defined on the interval [a,b]
  • Generate the expression for the variance of a continuous random variable, VarX=EX2-μ2=abx2fxdx-μ2, where the probability density function fx is defined on the interval [a,b]
  • Evaluate the expected value and the variance of a continuous random variable, where the probability density function fx is defined on the interval [a,b], that involve integration of functions within the scope of the Mathematics Advanced course

  • Evaluate the expected value and the variance of a continuous random variable, where the probability density function fx is defined on the interval [a,b], that involve integration of functions beyond the scope of the Mathematics Advanced course using an online computational application
The normal distribution
  • Identify the normal distribution as a continuous probability distribution that is used to model many naturally occurring phenomena

  • Identify the graph of the probability density function of a normal distribution, the normal curve, as an ‘ideal’ bell-shaped curve, symmetrical about its mean which is equal to its mode and median, and as having most values concentrated about the mean

  • Identify contexts that can be approximately modelled by a normal random variable

  • Use the notation XNμ,σ2 to represent a normally distributed random variable that has mean μ and standard deviation σ
  • Represent probabilities associated with the normal distribution by areas of shaded regions under the normal curve, which may extend to ±

  • Apply the empirical rule to make judgements and solve problems involving probabilities of normally distributed data: that for normal distributions, approximately 68% of data lie within one standard deviation of the mean, approximately 95% within two standard deviations of the mean and approximately 99.7% within three standard deviations of the mean

  • Use graphing applications to explore the normal distribution, graph the probability density function fx=1σ2πe-(x-μ)22σ2, verify the empirical rule and graph the cumulative distribution function
  • Recognise features of the normal curve, and identify the global maximum and points of inflection

  • Distinguish between a standard normal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1, and the non-standard normal distribution with mean μ and standard deviation σ
  • Define the z-score, or standardised score, by the formula z=x-μσ, where μ is the mean and σ is the standard deviation, and x is an observed value of a random variable
  • Interpret the z-score as the number of standard deviations a score lies above or below the mean
  • Use z-scores to compare scores from different sets of data and justify conclusions
  • Use z-scores to identify probabilities of events less or more extreme than a given outcome and solve problems using tables for the standard normal distribution
  • Solve problems involving finding the mean or standard deviation of a normal random variable given the probability of an event less or more extreme than a given outcome

  • Use z-scores to make judgements related to probabilities of certain events or given sets of data assuming an underlying normal distribution
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